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Latvia Virsliga · LV

SK Super Nova vs BFC Daugavpils

08 Nov 2026 · 12:00
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a moderate model-market difference for an away win for BFC Daugavpils. The model and market assessments show a noticeable divergence.

Recent Performance

Recent match analysis is not yet available for this fixture. Additional context will appear as the underlying match data becomes available.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

The available Pinnacle pre-match reference odds of 3.18 exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 3.11. This suggests a potential pricing advantage for an away win for BFC Daugavpils, although the difference alone is not enough to establish a reliable betting opportunity. The assessment applies only before kick-off.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · PINNACLE
HOME
SK Super Nova
STOCHASTICBET 40.9%
PINNACLE 44.4% odd 2.06
DIFFERENCE -3.6 pp
DRAW
Draw
STOCHASTICBET 27.0%
PINNACLE 26.8% odd 3.42
DIFFERENCE +0.2 pp
AWAY MODEL > MARKET
BFC Daugavpils
STOCHASTICBET 32.1%
PINNACLE 28.8% odd 3.18
DIFFERENCE +3.3 pp
STOCHASTICBET
PINNACLE MARKET
Market · PINNACLE Snapshot · 08 Nov 2026 · 11:31
PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

BFC Daugavpils has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output
SK Super Nova BFC Daugavpils
Shots 4.8 · On target 2.5 Shots 10.8 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output favours BFC Daugavpils, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
SK Super Nova BFC Daugavpils
Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 6.8 Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 3.3

BFC Daugavpils has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
SK Super Nova BFC Daugavpils

The combined recent performance profile favours BFC Daugavpils.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.