Latvia Virsliga · LV

Riga FC vs RFS

08 Nov 2026 · 12:00

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a slight model-market difference for an away win for RFS. The difference indicates only a limited disagreement with market expectations.

Recent Performance

Recent match analysis is not yet available for this fixture. Additional context will appear as the underlying match data becomes available.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

The available Pinnacle pre-match reference odds of 3.05 exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 3.04. This suggests a potential pricing advantage for an away win for RFS, although the difference alone is not enough to establish a reliable betting opportunity. The assessment applies only before kick-off.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · PINNACLE

HOME

Riga FC

STOCHASTICBET 23.1%

PINNACLE 25.2% odd 3.69

DIFFERENCE -2.0 pp

DRAW

Draw

STOCHASTICBET 44.0%

PINNACLE 44.4% odd 2.09

DIFFERENCE -0.4 pp

AWAY MODEL > MARKET

RFS

STOCHASTICBET 32.9%

PINNACLE 30.4% odd 3.05

DIFFERENCE +2.4 pp

STOCHASTICBET

PINNACLE MARKET

Market · PINNACLE Snapshot · 08 Nov 2026 · 01:11

PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Defensive Edge: RFS

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Riga FC RFS

Shots 17.8 · On target 5.3 Shots 14.5 · On target 6.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Riga FC RFS

Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 3.0 · On target allowed 1.5

RFS has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Riga FC RFS

The combined recent performance profile favours RFS.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.