IH Hafnarfjordur vs KFR Hvolsvöllur

03 Sep 2026 · 22:00

OPPORTUNITY

STRONG EDGE AWAY +9.7 pp

IH Hafnarfjordur

KFR Hvolsvöllur

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 14.8% DRAW 15.6% AWAY 69.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 21.4% 4.38 DRAW 18.8% 5.00 AWAY 59.8% 1.57

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates KFR Hvolsvöllur substantially higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 69.5% win probability, compared with 59.8% implied by the market. The 9.7 percentage-point difference indicates a strong divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: IH Hafnarfjordur

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

IH Hafnarfjordur KFR Hvolsvöllur

Shots 8.3 · On target 4.0 Shots 4.0 · On target 2.3

Recent attacking output favours IH Hafnarfjordur, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

IH Hafnarfjordur KFR Hvolsvöllur

Shots allowed 28.8 · On target allowed 18.5 Shots allowed 4.3 · On target allowed 2.5

KFR Hvolsvöllur has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

IH Hafnarfjordur KFR Hvolsvöllur

The combined recent performance profile favours KFR Hvolsvöllur.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

IH Hafnarfjordur ↑ +0.87 (+24.6%)

KFR Hvolsvöllur ↓ -0.07 (-4.2%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.