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Iceland 4 Deild · IS

KF Hafnir vs Vaengir Jupiters

03 Sep 2026 · 21:15
NEAR MARKET +1.1 pp
KF Hafnir
Vaengir Jupiters
HOME 15.0% DRAW 15.3% AWAY 69.7%
HOME 15.0% 6.41 DRAW 16.4% 5.85 AWAY 68.6% 1.40

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Vaengir Jupiters has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output
KF Hafnir Vaengir Jupiters
Shots 8.5 · On target 5.5 Shots 13.5 · On target 5.5

Recent attacking output favours Vaengir Jupiters, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
KF Hafnir Vaengir Jupiters
Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 5.5 Shots allowed 7.0 · On target allowed 3.5

Vaengir Jupiters has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
KF Hafnir Vaengir Jupiters

The combined recent performance profile favours Vaengir Jupiters.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

KF Hafnir ↑ +2.41 (+60.3%)
Vaengir Jupiters ↓ -0.10 (-6.7%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.