Vaengir Jupiters vs IH Hafnarfjordur

10 Sep 2026 · 21:15

OPPORTUNITY

STRONG EDGE HOME +12.7 pp

Vaengir Jupiters

IH Hafnarfjordur

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 77.4% DRAW 11.9% AWAY 10.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 64.8% 1.50 DRAW 16.2% 6.00 AWAY 19.0% 5.10

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Vaengir Jupiters substantially higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 77.4% win probability, compared with 64.8% implied by the market. The 12.7 percentage-point difference indicates a strong divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Vaengir Jupiters has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Vaengir Jupiters IH Hafnarfjordur

Shots 18.0 · On target 8.0 Shots 11.0 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output favours Vaengir Jupiters, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Vaengir Jupiters IH Hafnarfjordur

Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 27.3 · On target allowed 16.5

Vaengir Jupiters has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Vaengir Jupiters IH Hafnarfjordur

The combined recent performance profile favours Vaengir Jupiters.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Vaengir Jupiters ↑ +0.22 (+16.7%)

IH Hafnarfjordur ↓ -0.15 (-2.9%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.