SAPA/2 vs PIF Parainen

15 Sep 2026 · 18:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.2 pp

SAPA/2

PIF Parainen

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 24.4% DRAW 23.0% AWAY 52.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 25.7% 3.45 DRAW 24.0% 3.70 AWAY 50.4% 1.76

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: PIF Parainen

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

SAPA/2 PIF Parainen

Shots 4.3 · On target 0.5 Shots 16.0 · On target 7.5

Recent attacking output favours PIF Parainen, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

SAPA/2 PIF Parainen

Shots allowed 2.5 · On target allowed 0.5 Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 4.0

SAPA/2 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

SAPA/2 PIF Parainen

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

SAPA/2 = (0.0%)

PIF Parainen = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.