Darwin Olympic vs Mindil Aces

12 Sep 2026 · 12:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.7 pp

Darwin Olympic

Mindil Aces

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 22.6% DRAW 19.1% AWAY 58.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 22.3% 4.30 DRAW 20.1% 4.77 AWAY 57.7% 1.66

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Mindil Aces has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Darwin Olympic Mindil Aces

Shots 13.8 · On target 7.0 Shots 16.0 · On target 7.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Darwin Olympic Mindil Aces

Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 2.5

Mindil Aces has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Darwin Olympic Mindil Aces

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Darwin Olympic ↑ +0.24 (+6.9%)

Mindil Aces ↑ +0.06 (+3.8%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.