Darwin Hearts vs Garuda FC

12 Sep 2026 · 10:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.9 pp

Darwin Hearts

Garuda FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 82.1% DRAW 9.8% AWAY 8.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 80.2% 1.27 DRAW 11.3% 9.00 AWAY 8.5% 12.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Darwin Hearts has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Darwin Hearts Garuda FC

Shots 9.0 · On target 4.0 Shots 8.3 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Darwin Hearts Garuda FC

Shots allowed 13.0 · On target allowed 7.3 Shots allowed 16.0 · On target allowed 9.0

Darwin Hearts has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Darwin Hearts Garuda FC

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Darwin Hearts ↑ +0.09 (+7.5%)

Garuda FC ↑ +4.00 (+50.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.