Casuarina FC vs Port Darwin FC

11 Sep 2026 · 13:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.7 pp

Casuarina FC

Port Darwin FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 21.1% DRAW 18.0% AWAY 60.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 20.4% 4.89 DRAW 19.0% 5.25 AWAY 60.7% 1.64

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Port Darwin FC has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Casuarina FC Port Darwin FC

Shots 8.3 · On target 3.8 Shots 9.3 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Casuarina FC Port Darwin FC

Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 7.0 Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 5.0

Port Darwin FC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Casuarina FC Port Darwin FC

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Casuarina FC ↑ +1.99 (+68.6%)

Port Darwin FC ↓ -0.19 (-10.5%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.