Palmerston Rovers FC vs Darwin Olympic

05 Sep 2026 · 08:30

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE AWAY +4.2 pp

Palmerston Rovers FC

Darwin Olympic

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 7.2% DRAW 9.7% AWAY 83.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 9.2% 10.50 DRAW 11.8% 8.15 AWAY 79.0% 1.22

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Darwin Olympic clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 83.2% win probability, compared with 79.0% implied by the market. The 4.2 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Darwin Olympic has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Palmerston Rovers FC Darwin Olympic

Shots 6.8 · On target 4.0 Shots 14.5 · On target 7.0

Recent attacking output favours Darwin Olympic, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Palmerston Rovers FC Darwin Olympic

Shots allowed 17.3 · On target allowed 8.8 Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 3.0

Darwin Olympic has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Palmerston Rovers FC Darwin Olympic

The combined recent performance profile favours Darwin Olympic.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Palmerston Rovers FC ↓ -0.50 (-4.5%)

Darwin Olympic ↑ +0.10 (+8.6%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.