Santos U20 vs Mirassol U20

12 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.9 pp

Santos U20

Mirassol U20

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 78.8% DRAW 13.5% AWAY 7.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 76.9% 1.35 DRAW 14.8% 7.00 AWAY 8.2% 12.60

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Santos U20

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Santos U20 Mirassol U20

Shots 15.5 · On target 5.5 Shots 12.8 · On target 5.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Santos U20 Mirassol U20

Shots allowed 5.8 · On target allowed 1.8 Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 4.8

Santos U20 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Santos U20 Mirassol U20

The combined recent performance profile favours Santos U20.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Santos U20 = (0.0%)

Mirassol U20 ↑ +3.60 (+40.0%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.