Corinthians U20 vs America SP U20

12 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.8 pp

Corinthians U20

America SP U20

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 89.3% DRAW 8.4% AWAY 2.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 87.5% 1.13 DRAW 9.7% 10.15 AWAY 2.7% 36.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Corinthians U20 has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Corinthians U20 America SP U20

Shots 13.3 · On target 4.3 Shots 7.8 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output favours Corinthians U20, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Corinthians U20 America SP U20

Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 3.0 Shots allowed 16.0 · On target allowed 6.5

Corinthians U20 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Corinthians U20 America SP U20

The combined recent performance profile favours Corinthians U20.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Corinthians U20 = (0.0%)

America SP U20 ↑ +14.00 (+63.6%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.