Palmeiras U20 vs Sfera FC U20

12 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.4 pp

Palmeiras U20

Sfera FC U20

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 70.5% DRAW 19.2% AWAY 10.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 72.3% 1.33 DRAW 18.7% 5.15 AWAY 9.0% 10.70

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Sfera FC U20 has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Palmeiras U20 Sfera FC U20

Shots 12.5 · On target 5.3 Shots 14.8 · On target 6.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Palmeiras U20 Sfera FC U20

Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 3.3

Sfera FC U20 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Palmeiras U20 Sfera FC U20

The combined recent performance profile favours Sfera FC U20.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Palmeiras U20 = (0.0%)

Sfera FC U20 ↑ +2.30 (+27.4%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.