Bragantino U20 vs EC Agua Santa U20

12 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.4 pp

Bragantino U20

EC Agua Santa U20

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 79.5% DRAW 14.3% AWAY 6.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 76.1% 1.27 DRAW 16.3% 5.94 AWAY 7.7% 12.60

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Bragantino U20 relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 79.5% win probability, compared with 76.1% implied by the market. The 3.4 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Bragantino U20 has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Bragantino U20 EC Agua Santa U20

Shots 20.0 · On target 9.3 Shots 11.8 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output favours Bragantino U20, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Bragantino U20 EC Agua Santa U20

Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 2.0 Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 5.0

Bragantino U20 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Bragantino U20 EC Agua Santa U20

The combined recent performance profile favours Bragantino U20.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Bragantino U20 = (0.0%)

EC Agua Santa U20 ↑ +2.30 (+22.3%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.