EC Agua Santa U20 vs Palmeiras U20

08 Sep 2026 · 23:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.8 pp

EC Agua Santa U20

Palmeiras U20

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 11.1% DRAW 20.0% AWAY 68.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 10.3% 9.10 DRAW 19.7% 4.75 AWAY 70.1% 1.33

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Palmeiras U20

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

EC Agua Santa U20 Palmeiras U20

Shots 12.5 · On target 4.3 Shots 12.8 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

EC Agua Santa U20 Palmeiras U20

Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 2.8

Palmeiras U20 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

EC Agua Santa U20 Palmeiras U20

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

EC Agua Santa U20 ↑ +2.10 (+30.0%)

Palmeiras U20 ↑ +0.00 (+0.2%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.