Ferroviaria SP U20 vs Sao Bento U20

12 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.3 pp

Ferroviaria SP U20

Sao Bento U20

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 66.1% DRAW 22.6% AWAY 11.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 63.8% 1.55 DRAW 23.6% 4.20 AWAY 12.6% 7.85

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Ferroviaria SP U20 has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Ferroviaria SP U20 Sao Bento U20

Shots 12.5 · On target 3.5 Shots 11.8 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Ferroviaria SP U20 Sao Bento U20

Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 2.8 Shots allowed 16.8 · On target allowed 4.8

Ferroviaria SP U20 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Ferroviaria SP U20 Sao Bento U20

The combined recent performance profile favours Ferroviaria SP U20.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Ferroviaria SP U20 ↑ +0.05 (+3.3%)

Sao Bento U20 ↑ +1.29 (+19.7%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.