Portuguesa Desportos U20 vs Sertaozinho FC U20

12 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.2 pp

Portuguesa Desportos U20

Sertaozinho FC U20

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 54.4% DRAW 25.8% AWAY 19.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 54.2% 1.73 DRAW 26.0% 3.60 AWAY 19.8% 4.74

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Portuguesa Desportos U20

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Portuguesa Desportos U20 Sertaozinho FC U20

Shots 13.0 · On target 5.3 Shots 11.8 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output favours Portuguesa Desportos U20, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Portuguesa Desportos U20 Sertaozinho FC U20

Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 3.0 Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 3.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Portuguesa Desportos U20 Sertaozinho FC U20

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Portuguesa Desportos U20 ↓ -0.03 (-1.7%)

Sertaozinho FC U20 ↑ +0.40 (+9.3%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.