Referencia U20 vs Maua FC U20

12 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.1 pp

Referencia U20

Maua FC U20

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 49.8% DRAW 27.4% AWAY 22.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 49.8% 1.93 DRAW 27.5% 3.50 AWAY 22.7% 4.23

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Maua FC U20

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Referencia U20 Maua FC U20

Shots 8.3 · On target 2.0 Shots 8.8 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output favours Maua FC U20, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Referencia U20 Maua FC U20

Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 5.5 Shots allowed 13.0 · On target allowed 6.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Referencia U20 Maua FC U20

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Referencia U20 ↑ +0.10 (+5.5%)

Maua FC U20 ↓ -0.10 (-2.4%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.