Ituano U20 vs Flamengo SP U20

12 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE AWAY +5.3 pp

Ituano U20

Flamengo SP U20

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 49.4% DRAW 26.2% AWAY 24.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 55.8% 1.69 DRAW 25.1% 3.76 AWAY 19.1% 4.95

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Flamengo SP U20 clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 24.4% win probability, compared with 19.1% implied by the market. The 5.3 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Flamengo SP U20 has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Ituano U20 Flamengo SP U20

Shots 11.0 · On target 4.8 Shots 16.3 · On target 6.3

Recent attacking output favours Flamengo SP U20, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Ituano U20 Flamengo SP U20

Shots allowed 17.0 · On target allowed 8.5 Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 2.8

Flamengo SP U20 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Ituano U20 Flamengo SP U20

The combined recent performance profile favours Flamengo SP U20.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Ituano U20 ↓ -0.26 (-13.3%)

Flamengo SP U20 ↑ +1.35 (+37.5%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.