Capivariano U20 vs Tanabi U20

12 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.1 pp

Capivariano U20

Tanabi U20

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 70.4% DRAW 19.4% AWAY 10.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 68.3% 1.42 DRAW 20.5% 4.73 AWAY 11.2% 8.65

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Capivariano U20

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Capivariano U20 Tanabi U20

Shots 9.8 · On target 3.3 Shots 7.0 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Capivariano U20 Tanabi U20

Shots allowed 14.0 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 16.8 · On target allowed 8.5

Capivariano U20 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Capivariano U20 Tanabi U20

The combined recent performance profile favours Capivariano U20.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Capivariano U20 ↑ +0.09 (+6.8%)

Tanabi U20 ↑ +0.85 (+10.9%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.