Ibrachina U20 vs Sao Caetano U20

12 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.9 pp

Ibrachina U20

Sao Caetano U20

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 77.8% DRAW 15.8% AWAY 6.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 76.9% 1.33 DRAW 16.5% 6.22 AWAY 6.6% 15.50

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Ibrachina U20 has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Ibrachina U20 Sao Caetano U20

Shots 11.5 · On target 4.3 Shots 8.0 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output favours Ibrachina U20, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Ibrachina U20 Sao Caetano U20

Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 3.0 Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 3.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Ibrachina U20 Sao Caetano U20

The combined recent performance profile favours Ibrachina U20.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Ibrachina U20 ↑ +0.06 (+4.7%)

Sao Caetano U20 ↑ +5.30 (+52.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.