Santo Andre U20 vs Velo Clube U20

12 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.7 pp

Santo Andre U20

Velo Clube U20

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 53.5% DRAW 27.0% AWAY 19.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 50.8% 1.96 DRAW 27.7% 3.60 AWAY 21.5% 4.63

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Santo Andre U20 relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 53.5% win probability, compared with 50.8% implied by the market. The 2.7 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Santo Andre U20 has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Santo Andre U20 Velo Clube U20

Shots 8.8 · On target 4.0 Shots 6.5 · On target 2.0

Recent attacking output favours Santo Andre U20, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Santo Andre U20 Velo Clube U20

Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 12.3 · On target allowed 5.0

Santo Andre U20 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Santo Andre U20 Velo Clube U20

The combined recent performance profile favours Santo Andre U20.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Santo Andre U20 = (0.0%)

Velo Clube U20 ↑ +1.03 (+28.6%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.