Botafogo SP U20 vs EC Sao Bernardo U20

12 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.1 pp

Botafogo SP U20

EC Sao Bernardo U20

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 46.3% DRAW 29.1% AWAY 24.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 46.1% 2.12 DRAW 29.0% 3.37 AWAY 24.8% 3.94

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Botafogo SP U20

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Botafogo SP U20 EC Sao Bernardo U20

Shots 12.3 · On target 5.5 Shots 11.0 · On target 5.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Botafogo SP U20 EC Sao Bernardo U20

Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 2.3 Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 1.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Botafogo SP U20 EC Sao Bernardo U20

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Botafogo SP U20 ↓ -0.03 (-1.4%)

EC Sao Bernardo U20 ↑ +0.70 (+21.6%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.