Colorado Rapids vs St. Louis City SC

17 Sep 2026 · 03:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.6 pp

Colorado Rapids

St. Louis City SC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 42.2% DRAW 27.3% AWAY 30.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 40.6% 2.38 DRAW 27.6% 3.50 AWAY 31.7% 3.05

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Colorado Rapids

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Colorado Rapids St. Louis City SC

Shots 13.3 · On target 4.3 Shots 11.0 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Colorado Rapids St. Louis City SC

Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 13.0 · On target allowed 3.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Colorado Rapids St. Louis City SC

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Colorado Rapids ↑ +0.01 (+0.4%)

St. Louis City SC ↑ +0.24 (+8.5%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.