Columbus Crew vs Orlando City SC

17 Sep 2026 · 01:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.1 pp

Columbus Crew

Orlando City SC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 46.6% DRAW 27.0% AWAY 26.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 47.7% 2.07 DRAW 27.0% 3.65 AWAY 25.3% 3.90

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Orlando City SC

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Columbus Crew Orlando City SC

Shots 12.5 · On target 3.8 Shots 12.8 · On target 6.3

Recent attacking output favours Orlando City SC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Columbus Crew Orlando City SC

Shots allowed 14.3 · On target allowed 6.0 Shots allowed 14.5 · On target allowed 4.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Columbus Crew Orlando City SC

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Columbus Crew ↓ -0.09 (-4.3%)

Orlando City SC ↑ +0.24 (+6.8%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.