China PR U20 (W) vs Nigeria U20 (W)

10 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +5.5 pp

China PR U20 (W)

Nigeria U20 (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 36.6% DRAW 27.5% AWAY 35.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 31.0% 3.10 DRAW 27.5% 3.50 AWAY 41.5% 2.32

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates China PR U20 (W) clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 36.6% win probability, compared with 31.0% implied by the market. The 5.5 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: China PR U20 (W)

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

China PR U20 (W) Nigeria U20 (W)

Shots 12.8 · On target 6.3 Shots 1.0 · On target 0.8

Recent attacking output favours China PR U20 (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

China PR U20 (W) Nigeria U20 (W)

Shots allowed 6.0 · On target allowed 3.0 Shots allowed 4.8 · On target allowed 1.8

Nigeria U20 (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

China PR U20 (W) Nigeria U20 (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours China PR U20 (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

China PR U20 (W) ↑ +0.07 (+2.1%)

Nigeria U20 (W) ↓ -0.08 (-3.3%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.