Spain U20 (W) vs Nigeria U20 (W)

07 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.4 pp

Spain U20 (W)

Nigeria U20 (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 80.3% DRAW 12.9% AWAY 6.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 77.9% 1.22 DRAW 14.4% 6.60 AWAY 7.7% 12.30

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Spain U20 (W) has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Spain U20 (W) Nigeria U20 (W)

Shots 8.5 · On target 4.8 Shots 1.8 · On target 1.0

Recent attacking output favours Spain U20 (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Spain U20 (W) Nigeria U20 (W)

Shots allowed 2.3 · On target allowed 0.5 Shots allowed 3.3 · On target allowed 0.8

Spain U20 (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Spain U20 (W) Nigeria U20 (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours Spain U20 (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Spain U20 (W) ↑ +0.12 (+11.1%)

Nigeria U20 (W) ↓ -10.70 (-46.5%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.