Japan U20 (W) vs USA U20 (W)

09 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.8 pp

Japan U20 (W)

USA U20 (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 51.4% DRAW 25.9% AWAY 22.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 49.6% 1.93 DRAW 26.5% 3.62 AWAY 23.9% 4.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Japan U20 (W)

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Japan U20 (W) USA U20 (W)

Shots 14.0 · On target 5.3 Shots 2.8 · On target 1.8

Recent attacking output favours Japan U20 (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Japan U20 (W) USA U20 (W)

Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 3.5 · On target allowed 1.3

USA U20 (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Japan U20 (W) USA U20 (W)

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Japan U20 (W) ↓ -0.24 (-11.1%)

USA U20 (W) ↑ +0.80 (+25.0%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.