South Korea U20 (W) vs Ecuador U20 (W)

12 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.0 pp

South Korea U20 (W)

Ecuador U20 (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 20.4% DRAW 22.3% AWAY 57.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 22.3% 4.33 DRAW 23.4% 4.13 AWAY 54.3% 1.78

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Ecuador U20 (W) relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 57.3% win probability, compared with 54.3% implied by the market. The 3.0 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: South Korea U20 (W)

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

South Korea U20 (W) Ecuador U20 (W)

Shots 3.5 · On target 2.0 Shots 2.5 · On target 1.5

Recent attacking output favours South Korea U20 (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

South Korea U20 (W) Ecuador U20 (W)

Shots allowed 14.5 · On target allowed 7.5 Shots allowed 5.5 · On target allowed 2.3

Ecuador U20 (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

South Korea U20 (W) Ecuador U20 (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours Ecuador U20 (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

South Korea U20 (W) ↑ +0.19 (+4.5%)

Ecuador U20 (W) ↑ +0.03 (+1.9%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.