France U20 (W) vs Ecuador U20 (W)

09 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.5 pp

France U20 (W)

Ecuador U20 (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 67.2% DRAW 18.9% AWAY 13.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 66.7% 1.40 DRAW 19.7% 4.75 AWAY 13.7% 6.83

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: France U20 (W)

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

France U20 (W) Ecuador U20 (W)

Shots 3.0 · On target 1.3 Shots 1.5 · On target 1.0

Recent attacking output favours France U20 (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

France U20 (W) Ecuador U20 (W)

Shots allowed 1.0 · On target allowed 0.5 Shots allowed 1.0 · On target allowed 0.0

Ecuador U20 (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

France U20 (W) Ecuador U20 (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours Ecuador U20 (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

France U20 (W) ↑ +0.16 (+13.2%)

Ecuador U20 (W) ↓ -4.03 (-36.6%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.