England U20 (W) vs Brazil U20 (W)

11 Sep 2026 · 15:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.9 pp

England U20 (W)

Brazil U20 (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 32.4% DRAW 28.4% AWAY 39.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 36.1% 2.60 DRAW 28.6% 3.28 AWAY 35.4% 2.65

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Brazil U20 (W) relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 39.2% win probability, compared with 35.4% implied by the market. The 3.9 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Brazil U20 (W) has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

England U20 (W) Brazil U20 (W)

Shots 11.3 · On target 5.8 Shots 16.3 · On target 8.5

Recent attacking output favours Brazil U20 (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

England U20 (W) Brazil U20 (W)

Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 5.3 · On target allowed 2.3

Brazil U20 (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

England U20 (W) Brazil U20 (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours Brazil U20 (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

England U20 (W) ↓ -0.10 (-3.7%)

Brazil U20 (W) ↑ +0.35 (+15.2%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.