Brazil U20 (W) vs Canada U20 (W)

08 Sep 2026 · 15:00

OPPORTUNITY

STRONG EDGE HOME +6.6 pp

Brazil U20 (W)

Canada U20 (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 55.8% DRAW 24.1% AWAY 20.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 49.1% 1.92 DRAW 25.7% 3.66 AWAY 25.1% 3.75

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Brazil U20 (W) substantially higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 55.8% win probability, compared with 49.1% implied by the market. The 6.6 percentage-point difference indicates a strong divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Brazil U20 (W) has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Brazil U20 (W) Canada U20 (W)

Shots 16.8 · On target 8.8 Shots 5.3 · On target 2.5

Recent attacking output favours Brazil U20 (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Brazil U20 (W) Canada U20 (W)

Shots allowed 6.8 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 3.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Brazil U20 (W) Canada U20 (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours Brazil U20 (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Brazil U20 (W) ↓ -0.13 (-6.5%)

Canada U20 (W) ↑ +0.25 (+7.1%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.