North Korea U20 (W) vs Portugal U20 (W)

07 Sep 2026 · 15:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.9 pp

North Korea U20 (W)

Portugal U20 (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 83.5% DRAW 11.2% AWAY 5.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 79.6% 1.18 DRAW 13.4% 7.00 AWAY 7.0% 13.40

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for North Korea U20 (W) relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 83.5% win probability, compared with 79.6% implied by the market. The 3.9 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

North Korea U20 (W) has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

North Korea U20 (W) Portugal U20 (W)

Shots 18.3 · On target 7.8 Shots 10.3 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output favours North Korea U20 (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

North Korea U20 (W) Portugal U20 (W)

Shots allowed 2.5 · On target allowed 1.0 Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 3.8

North Korea U20 (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

North Korea U20 (W) Portugal U20 (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours North Korea U20 (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

North Korea U20 (W) ↑ +0.07 (+6.3%)

Portugal U20 (W) ↓ -7.60 (-36.2%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.