Poland U20 (W) vs Mexico U20 (W)

08 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.5 pp

Poland U20 (W)

Mexico U20 (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 40.6% DRAW 26.5% AWAY 32.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 39.0% 2.48 DRAW 26.9% 3.60 AWAY 34.1% 2.84

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Poland U20 (W)

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Poland U20 (W) Mexico U20 (W)

Shots 2.5 · On target 1.8 Shots 4.5 · On target 0.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Poland U20 (W) Mexico U20 (W)

Shots allowed 2.3 · On target allowed 0.8 Shots allowed 4.0 · On target allowed 1.8

Poland U20 (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Poland U20 (W) Mexico U20 (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours Poland U20 (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Poland U20 (W) ↑ +0.68 (+37.8%)

Mexico U20 (W) ↓ -0.56 (-16.4%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.