Mjällby AIF vs Djurgarden

03 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE AWAY +5.8 pp

Mjällby AIF

Djurgarden

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 15.4% DRAW 20.8% AWAY 63.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 19.2% 5.00 DRAW 22.8% 4.21 AWAY 58.0% 1.65

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Djurgarden clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 63.8% win probability, compared with 58.0% implied by the market. The 5.8 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Djurgarden has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Mjällby AIF Djurgarden

Shots 8.3 · On target 2.5 Shots 13.8 · On target 5.5

Recent attacking output favours Djurgarden, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Mjällby AIF Djurgarden

Shots allowed 17.5 · On target allowed 7.5 Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 2.8

Djurgarden has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Mjällby AIF Djurgarden

The combined recent performance profile favours Djurgarden.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Mjällby AIF ↑ +1.70 (+51.5%)

Djurgarden ↓ -0.30 (-15.2%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.