Banga Gargzdai vs FK Transinvest

14 Sep 2026 · 17:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.8 pp

Banga Gargzdai

FK Transinvest

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 37.6% DRAW 28.0% AWAY 34.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 38.3% 2.50 DRAW 28.1% 3.40 AWAY 33.6% 2.85

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Banga Gargzdai

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Banga Gargzdai FK Transinvest

Shots 13.3 · On target 4.8 Shots 12.8 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Banga Gargzdai FK Transinvest

Shots allowed 12.5 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 3.0

FK Transinvest has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Banga Gargzdai FK Transinvest

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Banga Gargzdai = (0.0%)

FK Transinvest ↑ +0.38 (+15.4%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.