Panevezys vs FK Kauno Zalgiris

13 Sep 2026 · 13:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.5 pp

Panevezys

FK Kauno Zalgiris

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 18.1% DRAW 23.7% AWAY 58.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 18.3% 5.07 DRAW 24.0% 3.86 AWAY 57.7% 1.61

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: FK Kauno Zalgiris

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Panevezys FK Kauno Zalgiris

Shots 8.3 · On target 4.3 Shots 11.8 · On target 6.3

Recent attacking output favours FK Kauno Zalgiris, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Panevezys FK Kauno Zalgiris

Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 3.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Panevezys FK Kauno Zalgiris

The combined recent performance profile favours FK Kauno Zalgiris.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Panevezys ↑ +0.10 (+2.0%)

FK Kauno Zalgiris ↑ +0.05 (+3.1%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.