Hegelmann Litauen vs Panevezys

07 Sep 2026 · 17:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.8 pp

Hegelmann Litauen

Panevezys

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 35.8% DRAW 27.6% AWAY 36.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 36.4% 2.60 DRAW 27.8% 3.40 AWAY 35.8% 2.64

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Panevezys

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Hegelmann Litauen Panevezys

Shots 5.0 · On target 2.8 Shots 8.8 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output favours Panevezys, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Hegelmann Litauen Panevezys

Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 3.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Hegelmann Litauen Panevezys

The combined recent performance profile favours Panevezys.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Hegelmann Litauen ↑ +0.20 (+8.3%)

Panevezys ↑ +0.06 (+2.3%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.