Slaven Belupo vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb

06 Sep 2026 · 21:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.9 pp

Slaven Belupo

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 40.9% DRAW 25.9% AWAY 33.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 37.0% 2.62 DRAW 26.5% 3.66 AWAY 36.6% 2.65

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Slaven Belupo relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 40.9% win probability, compared with 37.0% implied by the market. The 3.9 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Slaven Belupo has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Slaven Belupo NK Lokomotiva Zagreb

Shots 10.5 · On target 4.3 Shots 6.5 · On target 2.3

Recent attacking output favours Slaven Belupo, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Slaven Belupo NK Lokomotiva Zagreb

Shots allowed 16.8 · On target allowed 6.0 Shots allowed 18.3 · On target allowed 7.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Slaven Belupo NK Lokomotiva Zagreb

The combined recent performance profile favours Slaven Belupo.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Slaven Belupo ↑ +0.29 (+12.4%)

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb ↓ -0.17 (-6.0%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.