Dinamo Zagreb vs HNK Gorica

05 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.3 pp

Dinamo Zagreb

HNK Gorica

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 86.8% DRAW 9.1% AWAY 4.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 84.5% 1.14 DRAW 10.7% 9.02 AWAY 4.8% 20.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Dinamo Zagreb has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Dinamo Zagreb HNK Gorica

Shots 17.5 · On target 5.5 Shots 8.0 · On target 2.5

Recent attacking output favours Dinamo Zagreb, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Dinamo Zagreb HNK Gorica

Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 3.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Dinamo Zagreb HNK Gorica

The combined recent performance profile favours Dinamo Zagreb.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Dinamo Zagreb ↓ -0.06 (-5.0%)

HNK Gorica ↑ +8.14 (+68.6%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.