Midtjylland vs Brondby

14 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.4 pp

Midtjylland

Brondby

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 56.3% DRAW 23.4% AWAY 20.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 53.9% 1.81 DRAW 24.3% 4.00 AWAY 21.8% 4.47

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Midtjylland

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Midtjylland Brondby

Shots 16.8 · On target 6.5 Shots 15.0 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output favours Midtjylland, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Midtjylland Brondby

Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 3.0 Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 5.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Midtjylland Brondby

The combined recent performance profile favours Midtjylland.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Midtjylland ↓ -0.07 (-3.6%)

Brondby ↑ +0.15 (+3.5%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.