Deportivo Garcilaso vs Atletico Grau

06 Sep 2026 · 20:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.3 pp

Deportivo Garcilaso

Atletico Grau

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 61.0% DRAW 24.9% AWAY 14.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 61.5% 1.57 DRAW 24.8% 3.90 AWAY 13.8% 7.02

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Mixed Performance

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Deportivo Garcilaso Atletico Grau

Shots 11.8 · On target 4.5 Shots 12.8 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Deportivo Garcilaso Atletico Grau

Shots allowed 17.5 · On target allowed 6.0 Shots allowed 16.5 · On target allowed 6.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Deportivo Garcilaso Atletico Grau

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Deportivo Garcilaso ↓ -0.32 (-16.9%)

Atletico Grau ↑ +2.81 (+66.7%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.