Frosinone vs Como

20 Sep 2026 · 15:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.3 pp

Frosinone

Como

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 15.5% DRAW 19.7% AWAY 64.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 15.9% 6.13 DRAW 20.5% 4.75 AWAY 63.6% 1.53

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Como has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Frosinone Como

Shots 16.5 · On target 6.5 Shots 20.8 · On target 7.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Frosinone Como

Shots allowed 16.0 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 12.5 · On target allowed 3.0

Como has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Frosinone Como

The combined recent performance profile favours Como.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Frosinone ↓ -0.25 (-3.9%)

Como ↓ 0.00 (-0.1%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.