Torino vs Roma

14 Sep 2026 · 18:30

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE AWAY +6.0 pp

Torino

Roma

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 12.0% DRAW 20.0% AWAY 67.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 15.7% 6.15 DRAW 22.3% 4.33 AWAY 62.0% 1.56

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Roma clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 67.9% win probability, compared with 62.0% implied by the market. The 6.0 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Roma has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Torino Roma

Shots 10.3 · On target 2.3 Shots 19.8 · On target 7.3

Recent attacking output favours Roma, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Torino Roma

Shots allowed 17.8 · On target allowed 6.3 Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 3.5

Roma has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Torino Roma

The combined recent performance profile favours Roma.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Torino ↓ -0.04 (-0.6%)

Roma ↓ -0.06 (-3.5%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.