Bulgaria First League · BG

Levski Sofia vs CSKA Sofia

08 Nov 2026 · 16:00

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a slight model-market difference for a home win for Levski Sofia. The difference indicates only a limited disagreement with market expectations.

Recent Performance

Recent match analysis is not yet available for this fixture. Additional context will appear as the underlying match data becomes available.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

Despite the positive model-market difference, the available Pinnacle pre-match reference odds of 2.34 do not exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 2.36. At this price, a home win for Levski Sofia does not appear sufficiently attractive. A more favourable price before kick-off would be needed.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · PINNACLE

HOME MODEL > MARKET

Levski Sofia

STOCHASTICBET 42.4%

PINNACLE 40.9% odd 2.34

DIFFERENCE +1.5 pp

DRAW

Draw

STOCHASTICBET 31.9%

PINNACLE 32.1% odd 2.98

DIFFERENCE -0.2 pp

AWAY

CSKA Sofia

STOCHASTICBET 25.7%

PINNACLE 27.0% odd 3.55

DIFFERENCE -1.3 pp

STOCHASTICBET

PINNACLE MARKET

Market · PINNACLE Snapshot · 08 Nov 2026 · 15:41

PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Attacking Edge: CSKA Sofia

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Levski Sofia CSKA Sofia

Shots 12.8 · On target 4.5 Shots 18.8 · On target 7.5

Recent attacking output favours CSKA Sofia, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Levski Sofia CSKA Sofia

Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 1.5 Shots allowed 14.5 · On target allowed 7.0

Levski Sofia has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Levski Sofia CSKA Sofia

The combined recent performance profile favours Levski Sofia.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.