CSKA Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali

12 Sep 2026 · 20:15

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.2 pp

CSKA Sofia

Arda Kardzhali

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 57.4% DRAW 27.8% AWAY 14.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 57.2% 1.74 DRAW 27.6% 3.60 AWAY 15.2% 6.55

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Mixed Performance

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

CSKA Sofia Arda Kardzhali

Shots 17.5 · On target 5.8 Shots 13.5 · On target 7.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

CSKA Sofia Arda Kardzhali

Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 3.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

CSKA Sofia Arda Kardzhali

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

CSKA Sofia = (0.0%)

Arda Kardzhali ↑ +0.26 (+4.1%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.