CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Dunav Ruse

12 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.9 pp

CSKA 1948 Sofia

Dunav Ruse

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 68.3% DRAW 20.3% AWAY 11.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 66.3% 1.45 DRAW 21.3% 4.50 AWAY 12.3% 7.80

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

CSKA 1948 Sofia has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

CSKA 1948 Sofia Dunav Ruse

Shots 8.5 · On target 3.8 Shots 8.3 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

CSKA 1948 Sofia Dunav Ruse

Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 13.3 · On target allowed 5.0

CSKA 1948 Sofia has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

CSKA 1948 Sofia Dunav Ruse

The combined recent performance profile favours CSKA 1948 Sofia.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

CSKA 1948 Sofia ↑ +0.06 (+4.0%)

Dunav Ruse ↓ -0.30 (-3.7%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.