Botev Plovdiv vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv

13 Sep 2026 · 19:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.3 pp

Botev Plovdiv

Lokomotiv Plovdiv

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 51.6% DRAW 26.9% AWAY 21.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 53.1% 1.81 DRAW 26.7% 3.60 AWAY 20.2% 4.75

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Lokomotiv Plovdiv

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Botev Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv

Shots 9.0 · On target 3.5 Shots 9.0 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Botev Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv

Shots allowed 13.8 · On target allowed 5.8 Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 4.0

Lokomotiv Plovdiv has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Botev Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Botev Plovdiv ↑ +0.03 (+1.5%)

Lokomotiv Plovdiv ↑ +0.12 (+2.6%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.