HB Køge vs Hillerød

04 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.1 pp

HB Køge

Hillerød

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 40.4% DRAW 26.3% AWAY 33.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 39.2% 2.43 DRAW 26.7% 3.57 AWAY 34.1% 2.80

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Hillerød

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

HB Køge Hillerød

Shots 10.0 · On target 2.5 Shots 12.3 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output favours Hillerød, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

HB Køge Hillerød

Shots allowed 13.8 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 19.5 · On target allowed 4.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

HB Køge Hillerød

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

HB Køge ↓ -0.41 (-14.4%)

Hillerød ↑ +0.43 (+18.1%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.