FC Struga Trim & Lum vs KF Arsimi

21 Sep 2026 · 16:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.8 pp

FC Struga Trim & Lum

KF Arsimi

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 77.9% DRAW 15.4% AWAY 6.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 75.1% 1.25 DRAW 17.0% 5.51 AWAY 7.8% 12.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for FC Struga Trim & Lum relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 77.9% win probability, compared with 75.1% implied by the market. The 2.8 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

FC Struga Trim & Lum has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

FC Struga Trim & Lum KF Arsimi

Shots 12.5 · On target 8.5 Shots 11.3 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output favours FC Struga Trim & Lum, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FC Struga Trim & Lum KF Arsimi

Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 2.3 Shots allowed 13.3 · On target allowed 5.8

FC Struga Trim & Lum has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FC Struga Trim & Lum KF Arsimi

The combined recent performance profile favours FC Struga Trim & Lum.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

FC Struga Trim & Lum = (0.0%)

KF Arsimi ↑ +4.08 (+51.5%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.